Extreme climate events increase risk of global food insecurity and adaptation needs
Handmer, J. et al. in Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation, (eds Field, C. B. et al.) 231–290 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2012).
Tao, F. & Zhang, Z. Climate change, high-temperature stress, rice productivity, and water use in eastern China: a new superensemble-based probabilistic projection. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 52, 531–551 (2013).
Challinor, A. J., Simelton, E. S., Fraser, E. D. G., Hemming, D. & Collins, M. Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China. Environ. Res. Lett. 5, 034012 (2010).
Urban, D., Roberts, M. J., Schlenker, W. & Lobell, D. B. Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in interannual variability of US maize yields. Clim. Change 112, 525–533 (2012).
Müller, C. & Robertson, R. D. Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling. Agric. Econ. 45, 37–50 (2014).
Nelson, G. C. et al. Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 111, 3274–3279 (2014).
Rosenzweig, C. & Parry, M. L. Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367, 133–138 (1994).
Fischer, G., Shah, M., N. Tubiello, F. & van Velhuizen, H. Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated